i24NEWS poll: Likud leads with 27 seats, Yashar wins 22
The political map remains fragmented: B'Yachad receives 10 seats and the Democrats win nine, while no clear governing majority emerges
If elections for the Knesset were held today, Likud would remain Israel’s largest party with 27 seats, according to an i24NEWS poll conducted on September 9, 2026, by Direct Polls.
Yashar ranks second with 22 seats, five behind Likud. B'Yachad follows with 10 seats, while the Democrats receive nine.
United Torah Judaism and Otzma Yehudit each win eight seats. The Joint List, Yisrael Beytenu and Shas receive seven seats each, while the Religious Zionism–Zehut alliance wins six.
Ra’am receives five seats, and Amcha Israel crosses the electoral threshold with four.
- Likud - 27 seats
- Yashar - 22 seats
- B'yachad - 10 seats
- The Democrats - 9 seats
- United Torah Judaism - 8 seats
- Otzma Yehudit - 8 seats
- Joint List - 7 seats
- Yisrael Beytenu - 7 seats
- Shas - 7 seats
- Religious Zionism–Zehut - 6 seats
- Ra’am - 5 seats
- Amcha Israel - 4 seats
The remaining parties included in the poll fail to cross the electoral threshold. The Reservists and Economic Party receives 1.4% of the vote, while Blue and White receives 1.1%. The Haredi Public, Tzeva Shachor, Noam LeYisrael, AHI, HaKahal and Israel First–Green Leaf each receive less than 1%.
The results point to a divided Knesset in which no party comes close to being able to form a government on its own. A combination of Likud, Shas, United Torah Judaism, Otzma Yehudit and the Religious Zionism–Zehut alliance would hold 56 seats—five short of the 61 required for a parliamentary majority.
However, the composition of any potential coalition would depend on the parties’ positions and political commitments. The poll results alone therefore do not establish which governing coalition, if any, could be formed.
The poll was collected and conducted by Direct Polls Ltd., headed by Tzuriel Sharon, for i24NEWS on September 9, 2026. It follows the bombshell report by Israeli newspaper Haaretz that Israeli PM Netanyahu, and leader of Likud party, was reportedly tipped-off by the UAE about Oct. 7th prior to the attack. An source close to the Emirati government later confirmed the report to Israeli media channel N12 saying 'some leaders are willing to risk lives for another 1/2 hour in power.'
The poll was carried out using a digital system combined with a panel and included 1,054 Israeli adults aged 18 and over, constituting a representative sample of Israel’s population.
The statistical margin of error is ±3.0% at a 95% confidence level.