Iran plans regional escalation but is wary of attacking Israel during election campaign, i24NEWS told
Tehran seeks a change of government in Israel but believes an intense war could bolster the right-wing bloc or delay the vote, sources familiar with US intelligence assessment tell i24NEWS
Iran is planning to ignite the region by expanding its attacks in the near future, including strikes against American and “Zionist” targets, according to sources familiar with a US intelligence assessment.
Tehran is nevertheless weighing whether to strike Israel, as Iranian decision-makers understand that the Israeli response would be unrestrained.
According to the assessment, another factor in Tehran’s calculations is its desire to bring about a change of government in Israel.
Sources familiar with the matter say Israel’s ongoing election campaign is a key consideration for Tehran. Iranian decision-makers are taking into account that an intense war with Israel could strengthen the right-wing bloc or, in an extreme scenario, lead to the postponement of the election.
That calculation is another factor weighing against an expansion of Iran’s attacks to Israel.